Are 90% probability strategies a Holy Grail? High Probability or High Risk/Reward? A 90% winning ratio can still lose money. A lot of options traders consider a 90% probability strategy a Holy Grail ...
Pricing for short- and long-dated European and American options to buy Euros versus U.S. dollars at a strike price of 1.09 for quarterly maturities out to 20 years is shown below. Note that the data ...